Market Forecasts, Mega Stocks, and the Year Ahead
January 25, 2025  | By Kevin Smith

The image below reflects what I imagine the world’s greatest stock market forecaster envisions when she closes her eyes. All of the millions of variables perfectly connected into a beautiful coherent understanding of how it all works: Imagine a formula…Read More

Bitcoin!
December 20, 2024  | By Kevin Smith

A lot has changed with Bitcoin since our 2021 blog post, so it’s time for an update. Bitcoin has achieved staying power. With a total market value of about $2 trillion, it probably isn’t going away unless its cryptography is broken…Read More

Dealing With The Dips
September 1, 2024  | By Kevin Smith

Employees get paid for doing work. Investors get paid for taking risk. Risk is the chance of losing value between the time of purchase and sale. We experience risk when the value of an asset falls while we own it….Read More

Using Dollar-Cost Averaging to Reduce Risk
May 15, 2024  | By Kevin Smith

Investing a large sum of money can be daunting, especially with the uncertainty of market fluctuations. Enter dollar-cost averaging (DCA), a strategy designed to help investors manage risk by spreading their investments over time. By consistently investing a fixed amount,…Read More

The Language of Loss
August 4, 2022  | By Kevin Smith

If you bet against the Golden State Warriors basketball team, and you watched their star, Steph Curry, make a game winning shot, it may have felt like you were losing money from the time the ball left his hand until…Read More

Vested RSUs in a Market Decline
August 4, 2022  | By Manisha Gupta

Do you have restricted stock units (RSUs) that have recently vested? If you work in the tech or financial sectors in 2022, that probably means that you have seen a decline in their value (energy sector folks have this in…Read More

Markets and War
March 15, 2022  | By Kevin Smith

I’ve heard financial markets described as “expectations machines”, and I think that’s about right. Asset prices are based on what people are willing to pay for them, which is based on what they expect to receive in return. Prices go…Read More

Investing for the Unknowable
September 22, 2021  | By Matt Pierce

By Matthew Pierce, CFA Yogi was right, and it’s particularly difficult when it’s your hard earned money on the line! Uncertainty never goes away, it just changes shape. It is the water we swim in as investors, so we should…Read More

How I Invest My Money
December 11, 2020  | By Kevin Smith

I spend most of my time helping people think about their investing decisions and not much time on my own. An old saying goes “the cobbler’s son has the worst shoes in town”, or something like that. Rather than my…Read More

Elections and the Stock Market
August 14, 2020  | By Kevin Smith

I did not predict anything about 2020, including that the Presidential campaign three months from election day would be so quiet. You can’t escape it if you are glued to cable news or Twitter, but by comparison to past elections,…Read More